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The G-20: Anarchists and Correspondents Speak Out

Watching The News: The Bias Is Sometimes To Much To Take
Before getting to the G-20 itself, I have to say that the coverage from some "news" outlets is unbelievable in it's biased love affair with President Obama. I know that this comes as no great surprise, but sometimes it gets to the point where it has to be brought up.
 
John Harwood is the Chief Washington Correspondent of CNBC and a political writer for the New York Times. I watch him report on CNBC, only because I watch the ticker on the bottom. As a correspondent, it is his job to report the news, not to invoke his opinion of the news. That is not the case and at times it is to much to bear.
 
The commentary Wednesday was that the throngs of protesters in downtown London stood in stark contrast to the throngs outside of Buckingham Palace expressing their adulation for President Obama, ostensibly proving the strength of his popularity not only in the United States, but in England and the rest of Europe as well. If that is the case John Harwood, then the protesters and anarchists must be an indicator of popular U.K. and European thought as well.
 
More likely, these are both relatively small groups of people drawn by a specific occasion. Each could be in the majority of English thought or minority, but it is not John Harwoods place to make that determination. I would also assume that not every person outside of the Palace was pro-Obama or pro-United States, but in this case of consistent partisanship, that possibility was not mentioned.

Anarchists and Financial Fools Day
 
In a world that is feeling the pain and frustration of the financial crisis, the protests that went on Wednesday in London by anarchists and other groups was for the most part non-violent, although uniform in the condemnation of the capitalist way of doing business.
 
The first thing that I was struck by is that as non-participants in capitalism, the protesters have more than enough time to travel to these summits and demonstrate.
 
The second thing that I was struck by was that it seemed as if there were some non-anarchist types interviewed who also seemed to question whether an alternative system might be better.
 
The problem as I see it is the potential for these types of protests and waves of dissatisfaction to slip from fringe groups to the regular folks who begin to understand the extreme depth and ramifications of the problem. These world leaders and rainmakers need to solve or stem the tide of the problem before the term social unrest spreads to groups that we would never have anticipated that it could spread to.
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Pop The Economic Pimple While The Cancer Runs Wild

Note: I find the bonuses paid to the AIG executives and financial "geniuses" that created and sold the products that has helped to bring the economy of the United States and the world to its knees to be abhorrent and bordering on the immoral. If there is a way to abrogate them within the boundaries of contract law, then it must be done! That said, let's move on.

What Is The "Political Risk Premium" For Doing Business?

Populism is a discourse which claims to support "the people" versus "the elites". Populism may comprise an ideology urging social and political system changes and/or a rhetorical style deployed by members of political or social movements. Generally, populism invokes an idea of democracy as being solely the expression of the people's will.

Political Expediency: Many politicians make decisions based not necessarily upon what is the best thing to do, nor upon their own ethics and morals, but upon what is best for their own political gain. A politician is dependent upon his or her good standing with voters, as well as an ability to "fit in" with the party political structure. Since a person's time in politics sometimes is short, it is only natural that they do everything possible to continue their career.

I use these words and political commentators use these words, but how many have actually seen a definition. When you read them it really shines a light on how it is that our government runs, and why it is that it is so dysfunctional. When we look at the goings on in Washington over the last week or so as it concerns the political uproar over the bonuses being paid to executives at AIG, there are really no other words to describe it.

The Law of Contracts Inside Cover

The AIG bonus situation is an issue to be hashed out by lawyers that specialize in contract law. Can bonuses contractually agreed to be rescinded out of hand in a situation where a company is still a going concern, albeit one that took TARP money. Maybe, and I certainly hope so. But the fact remains that these are not items to be taken lightly. In order to negate the validity of a contract, there needs to be some basis in law, and not done simply because it makes good theater for the people back home.

If and when we get to the point as a country where contracts can be overturned at the whim of a populist position taken by a politician with the power to do it, then who in their right minds would have the faith and confidence to enter into a contract? Where does capitalism go from there?

To recap: Are these bonuses being paid to many of the same people that helped get the country into the situation that it finds itself in repugnant, disgusting, immoral? Yes they are, but the fact remains that we are a country of contracts and laws, and if these contracts are able to be rendered invalid simply because the masses find them to be incredibly wrong and the politicians find a cause that is both populist AND politically expedient, then we as a capitalist society are going down a slippery slope.

What other contracts don't we like? Mortgages? Car Leases? Student Loans? Contracts signed with another business? If the moral outrage was strong enough and the politicians saw the opportunity to glom onto the cause, could we just have them rendered null and void?

These same politicians exhibiting their moral outrage also have a lot of explaining to do. Barney Frank, Chris Dodd, Tim Geithner and their bands of merry men and woman are not blameless in all of this, not by a longshot. They do however, have the unmitigated audacity to get up on the bully pulpit, waste the taxpayers time and money running hearings to do publicly what could be done privately, and engage in the populist rhetoric when they should be in another hearing room sitting at the table answering their own set of questions about how and why we are now where we are.

All of that said, let our employees in Washington get back to curing the cancer that is running through the body of the country, and stop trying to clear up the acne that is on its face. All in the name of populism and political expediency!
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What Will Save Our Economy?

The Political and Financial Markets Commentator (http://politicsandfinance.blogspot.com)

Monday, February 23, 2009

What Will Save Our Economy?

Mortgage Foreclosure Solutions House in chains

How Do We Get Ourselves Out Of This Crisis?

I have been accused by some readers of being a "Monday morning quartback", of critisizing and not offering solutions and of getting the facts wrong about why we are in the mess we are in. The fact of the matter is that the only one in that list that I am actually guilty of is not being able to offer a credible solution to a problem that is slowly sucking the country and the world down.

Now I am a pretty smart guy, but not smart enough to have the answer to a problem that the "best" minds on Wall Street created (of course with the help of the politicians of both party's), and that the "best" minds on Wall Street, Washington, academia and elsewhere can't seem to solve.

If only they had used their power for good instead of evil.

In any event, as I have mentioned before when it comes to macro-economic issues as well as the inner workings of markets, I find Jim Cramer to be an extremely knowledgable source. Not the greatest stock picker in the world, but that's alright.

These are his thoughts on how we can get out of this problem, which is much more definitive than the ever changing drivel that keeps coming out of Washington.

Jim Cramer

Love him or hate him, the man has actionable and definitive ideas based on an extremely extensive and successful background on Wall Street and as an observer of the markets and economy.

"According to Cramer, neither nationalization, which does too much, or euthanasia, which does too little, will work to save the financial system. He said what will fix it, however, would be offering 40-year, 4% fixed rate mortgages to everyone, especially to those whose mortgages are based on current appraisals. He again advocated forbearance for the banks, with no "mark-to-market" rules enforced.


Cramer said we simply cannot let the chips fall where they may, and the alternative of nationalizing will wipe out the preferred
stock and so much more."

This is a short synopsis of his idea, but to me it sounds as if it makes more sense than any of the start and stop plans that we have gotten out of Washington so far. I know the same critics will say that Obama has now ony been in office for _____ days, but Tim Geithner has been on the scene for a lot longer than that (the guy the administration just had to have despite his tax problems), as have the members of congress, and all of them still can't seem to be able to grab their own a___s with both hands.

Maybe they should bring in some new outside advisors. Sphere: Related Content
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The Hypocrisy Of The Phrase: Failed Policies Of The Last 8 Years!!

From The Political and Financial Markets Commentator

Friday, February 20, 2009

The Hypocrisy Of The Phrase: Failed Policies Of The Last 8 Years!!

First, A Market Update

On December 8, 2008, I wrote the following:

"We will have the analysts and the "experts" explaining why, after this rally off of the lows set a month or so ago has already taken place, that we have seen the bottom. That we are forming a base, backing and filling, poised to now go much higher and all of the other cliches that you will hear on T.V. These are the same guys and gals who simply go with the momentum trade disguised by fancy talk. When oil was at $140 a barrel, there was no doubt that it was going to $200. Now that it is $40 a barrel, there is no doubt that the next step is $20."

In typical Wall Street analyst fashion, the "experts" were wrong and Thursday we took out those lows and now could have another leg down to who knows where. In another example of investors voting with there feet, excitement and more importantly confidence has not been created in the fiscal stimulus and mortgage plans announced by the Obama administration.

You Want It Fast Or Right?

I still know the drill all of you apologists out there. He has only been in office _____(fill in the blank) days.

The problem is that in this case there are no do overs or mulligans, and if he had not properly vetted his plan with Wall Street and others to make sure it would not only be received well but also be the plan with the highest probability of working, then he should have waited. It is arrogance of the worst kind to believe that you know better, particularly with some of the culpable players you have surrounded yourself with.

It rings like an echo in my mind, another Washington cliche that is always rolled out (except in this case where fast was the main goal): You want it fast or you want it right?

Mr. President, we want it right, because the economic stability of country's around the world depends on it. You hopefully did not over play your hand by setting the artificial drop dead deadline that you did.

A Revealing Walk Down Memory Lane

On a separate topic, you will not believe that I am having a real problem with some of the sanctimonious politicians i see on T.V. that speak of the failed policies of the last 8 years as if there was a finite break between the time that the Clinton administration ended and the Bush administration began.

Remember some of the players and situations from before Bush took office? Bill Clinton, Barney Frank, Chris Dodd, Melvin Watt, the expansion of the Community Reinvestment Act in 1995, the political clout of Fannie Mae, the political contributions made by Fannie Mae (now President Obama was a substantial beneficiary), sweetheart mortgage deals, the attempt to reign in the problem that was blocked by the Democrats when Bush was in office and so on and so on.

I know the rules of Washington. What you say in front of the cameras today is the new reality that wipes out any of your actions that have actually occurred through the years (i.e. Chappaquiddick, sorry couldn't help myself). Even though I know these rules, you reach a point where you just can't listen to it anymore without expressing some outrage.

The clip below was made during the presidential campaign, but is an excellent depiction of when the problem that we now find ourselves in originated.

It will also give some pretty credible evidence to the fact that some of these guys that stand up and say those famous words "the failed policies of the last 8 years" should look in the mirror and understand that while the American public might buy the arguments because no one is really pointing out the reality, they are not really fooling anybody.

Watch The Clip, And After That I Promise We Will Only Look Forward, At Least Until The Next Time.
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It's Deja Vu All Over Again

From The Political and Financial Markets Commentator at http://politicsandfinance.blogspot.com
 

Friday, February 6, 2009

It's Deja Vu All Over Again

Political Gamesmanship With The Future Of Our Country

The rhetoric in the clip below is typical of what goes on in Washington. This is a Democrat, but Republicans do it as well. It's about the show, not about what we need. In this case nobody actually knows what we need, but this crap certainly won't get us there, wherever it is that there actually is.



TARP Flashback

I went back to a September 21, 2008 blog I wrote to see what it was that I was thinking at the time. This is about 6 months ago, 6 months into what they call "the worst economic crisis since the great depression." There is a new administration in place, a new Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner, who had a big hand in creating this crisis or at least in exasperating it as the head of the New York Fed, and our economic future in the hands of politicians that I am afraid have no idea about what it is they are doing. Or more importantly, the potential dire ramifications of what they are doing. Or not doing?

As a concerned outsider it looks as though they are behind closed doors throwing darts at a board to figure out the next proposal with no real idea of the effect that it will have. The common stock of some major financial institutions like Citigroup and Bank of America may disappear, and the decision on the status of preferred stock and the whole capital structure of institutions receiving more TARP funds is anyones guess.

Unemployment and plummeting consumer confidence creates a feeling of despair. The Bank of England cut it's key rate 50 bp to 1%, and our rates are approaching zero. The employment numbers will be out by the time you read this, and there is no expectation for anything other than dismal numbers.

Thinks it's a problem? I found a website that seems to allow you to write a letter to any politician around the country. Check it out, and voice your concerns and let them know that they are playing a game with the future of the country, and so far have not been doing a very good job.

FreedomSpeaks.com

On the bright side, it's the weekend. Party on! Sphere: Related Content
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Grabbing The Low Hanging Fruit

From The Political and Financial Markets Commentator at http://politicsandfinance.blogspot.com

Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Grabbing The Low Hanging Fruit

Newsflash: In an attempt to allow President Obama save face and to avoid ugly confirmation hearings, Tom Daschle withdrew his name from the nomination process Tuesday due to the non payment of taxes. The state of his nomination and call for his withdrawl was discussed here on Monday.




The Outrage Stays The Same

What is that they say about the definition of insanity? What is that they say about the definition of insanity? Sorry about repeating myself, but I know i have asked this question at some point in the past.


Insanity is having the same information set with all of the same players involved working on the same problem in the same way and expecting an outcome that is somehow different from the time before. On a small scale this is what happens when we tell our kids to make their beds.


On a large scale, we have Washington and the economic crisis that we now face.

On the smaller scale, which is where we live, the debate about executive pay, executive bonuses and the naming rights of a stadium seem to usurp the debate over the bigger picture items such as TARP and the solvency of a nation.

As always the politicians will key on, and focus on, those topics that they think their constituency will focus on. The reality is that at the end of the day it is the big picture items mentioned above that had better be resolved fast.

As an update, my personal senators, congressman, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi have not given me any kind of response or feedback regarding my letter asking why they cannot put their own agenda behind ours for a change! Sphere: Related Content
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An Open Letter To Nancy Pelosi

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

An Open Letter To Nancy Pelosi


 Nancy Pelosi
Originally uploaded by Lindsay Beyerstein

Good morning Leader Pelosi:

I am not one of your immediate constituents in California, but in your position as Leader of the House Of Representatives you do have a hand in the process that affects me as well as the people in the rest of the country.

I wanted to share an article regarding the need for TRUE, bi-partisan give and take when it comes at least in this case to getting this spiraling economic crisis to find a bottom and provide the potential for improvement.

I tried to send this to your office, but not being a constituent I wasn't allowed to, and the email address you provided for non-constituents bounced back so I am hoping that someone that reads this knows how to get it to you.

Please read the article in this blog from yesterday, and take these thoughts for how to handle this situation in the spirit that they are given:

End the verbal platitudes, end the blame game, end the endless politicking, put the country first and your career second, stop looking for what is in it for you and instead look for what is in it for all of us, understand that what you in Washington think is a big card game is peoples lives that are at stake.

What we have here is not a number on a Gallup poll or the potential loss of position on a committee for going against what the party leaders are saying. What we have here are the stores up and down the street closing, whole industry's being crippled, kids not being able to go to college, families losing their homes and kids going hungry.

You and your constituents who I will call the other members in Congress have your health insurance, good pensions, dining room, paid staff and paid office rent as well as other perks I don't even know about.

You can take as much time and play as many political games as you have to so that you look good for the people back home.

The rest of us do not have that luxury!!!

By the way, if you happen to see Chuck Shumer, Steve Israel or Harry Reid please ask them to get back to me on the letters I sent them.

Sphere: Related Content
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The "Game" Of Politics Is Destroying Us

Monday, February 2, 2009

The "Game" Of Politics Is Destroying Us

This Is Serious: The Game Of Politics Is Slowly Destroying Us

http://www.memberguide.gpoaccess.gov/

I am a Republican leaning conservative and you might be the same or a Democrat or a Liberal or not really into politics at all. At the end of the day, at least when it come to our economic future, it is time to join forces and tell the politicians in Washington to cut the crap and put the country's best interests in front of their own political interest.

Party Line Voting

Now I am not in the negotiations for determining exactly needs to be done about the mess that we are in that has been in the making for more years than Bush was in office. This is not an easy problem with an easy solution as we can see by the fact that the TARP has been redefined at least three times.

We do supposedly have some of the best financial minds at our disposal to determine what we must do to fix this problem that has the potential to consume us all.

Unfortunately we then have the politicians who pretty much know very little about a large amount of things getting in the middle, getting their face time, pontificating, lecturing, porkulating (a new word meaning trying to get theirs for the peolpe back home) blaming and who are basically getting in the way of a solution being achieved that might work.

Explain to me how a party line vote works exactly. Not one person in a party disagrees with the subject and not one in the other party can agree? What are the odds of that?

It is time for our Senators and Congress men and women to cut the crap, get the gumption they said they had when we elected them, determine what they think is right or wrong and not what the party is telling them is right or wrong.

Do the best you can to fix the mess that is slowly sucking the life out of the economy and country. Stop worrying about re-election and do what you love to say you are in Washington to do: The People's Business. All the people, not just the ones in your state of legislative district.

Risk your political future for the future of the country!!!

Write your congressman or woman, write your senator, and tell them to cut the political crap and get back to yours and my business.

http://www.memberguide.gpoaccess.gov/
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Unemployment: The Equal Opportunity Plague

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Unemployment: The Equal Opportunity Plague


 I'm confused...
Originally uploaded by apdonovan

Unemployment Runs Up and Down The Economic Spectrum

How appropriate to show an unemployment office in Manahattan, once the bastion of power for the brokerage and banking industry. With the loss of Bear Stearns and Lehman, countless forced mergers, reorganizations, layoffs and endless consolidations, New York City, along with cities around the country, faces a hit on multiple fronts.

First is the rising unemployment rate, with the current prospects for re-employment extremely difficult at a time when cost cutting and belt tightening are the steps taken before hanging a going out of business sign.

This creates a social problem up and down the economic spectrum as a feeling of hopelessness and helplessness becomes pervasive. A domino effect of bankruptcies and foreclosures then becomes a possible result. The currency of home equity is gone, and savings, if there are any become depleted.

On the city and state level, as is well documented in California, the loss of the tax base and revenue stream is dramatic. What defines essential services becomes fodder for debate as areas to cut expenses are searched for. An additional problem results from the fact that the municipal bond market has the same issues as the corporate credit markets. Difficulty raising money, and if it is possible, the cost will be high.

After what is being termed a black Monday for job cuts, more than 55,000 were announced (Washington Post) the hammer came down again on Tuesday.

As the pundits who like to use baseball analogies love to say, we are hopefully getting close to the 9th inning of this nightmare.
 
We better not go to extra innings!!!
 
The Political and Financial Markets Commentator
Sphere: Related Content
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Gitmo, The Taliban, Nukes and You

Monday, January 26, 2009

Gitmo, The Taliban, Nukes and You


 Taliban Personified?
Originally uploaded by pav21

The Plan To Shut Gitmo Down May Run Into A Headwind While The Taliban Has Not Gone Away, Far from It

In what can only be termed as an extremely disturbing situation in Pakistan, the Taliban is becoming a stronger and stronger influence, not only in the tribal areas but now deeper into the heart of the country. In a front page article in the Sunday New York Times, this penetration and the accompanying spread of terror and brutal punishment for the "violation" of its' own interpretation of how life should be is showing no signs of abating. To the contrary it would seem to be gaining momentum.

What this means for not only the United States but for all of the world is that this spread of the Talibans power, the fear of the politicians and security forces to stand up to it as well as the uncertainty of who in government is actually sympathetic to the Taliban, all places a nuclear arsenal in unknown hands.

This is an area that the Obama administration needs to address immediately. We know that these weapons would not only be coveted, but if obtained would no doubt be attempted to be used.

A Possible Monkey Wrench In The Plans To Close Gitmo

In a story in Newsweek, a Pentagon report that is due to be declassified will reportedly show that some of the detainees that have been released from Guantanamo have gone back to their terroristic ways. If in fact this is the case, can the Obama administration take the chance that a newly released captive perpetrates an attack on us or on our allies. I don't think they can.

For the Obama administration, getting the economy back on track is critical, but let's not forget the dangers from without that have never gone away!

Sphere: Related Content
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